Phil Newton

Bearish Theta Works While the Bulls Party Early | SPX Analysis 27 May 2025

Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️ It’s Phil… The weekend news pops and pumps are getting beyond the pale! Still, we trade mechanically. I closed the week on Friday (technically Thursday) with a bearish bias despite a bullish Tag ‘n Turn. Then I logged off, hit the beach with Mrs N – and then promptly spent Saturday […]

Bearish Theta Works While the Bulls Party Early | SPX Analysis 27 May 2025 Read More »

Downgrade, Debt & Tariffs: A Red-Pilled Reality Check on Uncle Sam’s Credit

America Just Got Its Third Credit Downgrade – Here’s What That Really Means Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️ It’s Phil… Welcome to Financial Fight Club, where we break the first rule and talk about the ugly truths of finance. The United States just got slapped with a credit downgrade again, and the usual spin machines want

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GEX Spikes. Traders Flinch. We Wait. | SPX Analysis 22 April 2025

Markets React. We Follow the System. Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️ It’s Phil… What a way to start the week – a clean gap down on Monday, straight into continuation mode, and our old friend the Wolfe Wave still doing the heavy lifting. Now, I missed the perfect 0-DTE setup at the open yesterday. Real life called — hospital run,

GEX Spikes. Traders Flinch. We Wait. | SPX Analysis 22 April 2025 Read More »

Clues Were in the Charts, Not the News | SPX Analysis 17 April 2025

Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️ It’s Phil… So the newswires are shouting: “Tech trade restrictions sank the market!” Sure. Maybe. But let’s be honest… the charts told us first. Price was already rolling over before the news broke. We were already bearish. Already short. Already pressing the button on our 0-DTE trades while the financial press

Clues Were in the Charts, Not the News | SPX Analysis 17 April 2025 Read More »

A Wolfe Wave? Maybe. Another Win? Definitely. | SPX Analysis 16 April 2025

Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️ It’s Phil… What do you call it when you wake up, sip your tea, and realise the market is exactly where you thought it would be? Answer: another day following the damn plan. Yesterday’s price action? Snooze city. But tucked away inside that inside day was a lovely little income win,

A Wolfe Wave? Maybe. Another Win? Definitely. | SPX Analysis 16 April 2025 Read More »

Trump Says “Tariff for You!” SPX Says “Meh.” | SPX Analysis 15 April 2025

Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️ It’s Phil… Well, the heehaw seesaw shenanigans continue… Trump’s doing his best Oprah impression: “You get a tariff! You get an exemption! Everyone gets… confusion!” But SPX? Not impressed. After Monday’s gap-up, we didn’t push higher.We didn’t hold gains.We didn’t confirm breakout. Instead, we saw another turn at 5400/5425 –That same

Trump Says “Tariff for You!” SPX Says “Meh.” | SPX Analysis 15 April 2025 Read More »

Tariff Exemptions Stir the Bounce | SPX Analysis 14 April 2025

Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️ It’s Phil… It’s Monday… and the markets are once again dancing like a puppet on a tweet-fuelled string. One minute, tariff fears.The next, selective exemptions for “favourites.”Now the weekend’s over and futures are bouncing higher like none of it happened. SPX looks set to test – or break – the 5400

Tariff Exemptions Stir the Bounce | SPX Analysis 14 April 2025 Read More »

Just Let Me Cash Out Before the Weekend | SPX Analysis 11 April 2025

Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️ It’s Phil… Let’s be honest… This week has been ridiculous. The market pumped harder than a spin class on espresso because of a rumour.Then dumped.Then teased a breakout.Then decided against it mid-sentence. It’s been a full-blown rollercoaster of overreactions, headline bait, and “wait, what did Trump say now?” moments. But amidst

Just Let Me Cash Out Before the Weekend | SPX Analysis 11 April 2025 Read More »

Trump Pump Just Broke the Charts | SPX Analysis 10 April 2025

12% Up in a Day. Now What? Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️ It’s Phil… It’s Phil… What a difference a headline makes. Monday:Markets dump. Panic. Retail sells the low.We hit our bearish targets like clockwork. Wednesday:Markets explode like they found a cheat code.SPX rallies 9.5% in a day.Nasdaq? A completely unhinged 12% up.All because… tariffs might

Trump Pump Just Broke the Charts | SPX Analysis 10 April 2025 Read More »

Retests, Rallies, and Bear Swings Loading | SPX Analysis 09 April 2025

Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️ It’s Phil… You know what’s better than nailing a trade? Not having to flip, flop, hedge, unhedge, reverse, scalp, and do the full Hokey Cokey just to survive. Today was one of those days – the kind where the plan just works. Futures? Wild.Down 143, up 188, then back to flat

Retests, Rallies, and Bear Swings Loading | SPX Analysis 09 April 2025 Read More »

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